Policy Of Deliberate Ambiguity
Many nations may find it in their advantage to maintain a
policy of deliberate ambiguity
. It may be useful if they have contrary
foreign
and domestic policy goals, or if they want to take advantage of
risk aversion
to abet a
deterrence
strategy. Such a policy can be very risky as it may cause misinterpretation of a nation's intentions, leading to actions that run counter to that nation's wishes.
Examples
United States
Whether it would retaliate from a chemical or biological attack with nuclear weapons; specifically, during the
Persian Gulf War
(President
George H. W. Bush
later said they were bluffing in this case).
Whether it would defend
Taiwan
in the event of an attack by the
People's Republic of China
. This policy was intended to discourage both an
unilateral declaration
of
independence
by
ROC
leaders and an invasion of Taiwan by the PRC. The United States has since been much less ambiguous after
George W. Bush
promised to "do whatever it takes" to defend Taiwan, but has continued express dissatisfaction over moves towards a UDI. The US and several other nations have long felt a need to be ambiguous regarding Taiwan; see
Foreign relations of the Republic of China
.
Israel
Whether or not it possesses nuclear weapons (most believe it does; see
Israel and weapons of mass destruction
).
Whether it planned to assassinate
Yassir Arafat
.
External links
*
Arms Control Association: U.S. Nuclear Policy: "Negative Security Assurances"
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