2004 U.s. Presidential Election Timeline

Events

Tuesday, November 2, 2004

• Citizens in two small New Hampshire towns were the first to have their ballots counted in the 2004 U.S. presidential election. In Dixville Notch, the more famous of the two due to its longstanding tradition of early voting, the incumbent lost ground compared to his showing in 2000, but got more total votes than the challenger: Bush — 19, Kerry — 7. Bush also won the vote in Hart's Location, which managed to report its results slightly earlier this year; Bush — 16, Kerry — 14, and Nader — 1. (09:00 UTC, November 2 2004, Associated Press (Associated Press) (Reuters) In both cases this represented a small swing compared with the 2000 results from the Republican candidate to the Democratic candidate.
• "U.S. Supreme Court Justice John Paul Stevens Tuesday allowed Republicans to challenge voter qualifications at the polls in Ohio, a key battleground state that could determine the presidential election. Stevens acted on an emergency request shortly before polls opened in Ohio and across the nation." He refused to set aside a U.S. appeals court order, issued Monday, which, reversing a lower court's ban, permitted political party members to challenge the credentials of potential voters at polling places across the state. -Reuters (Bloomberg)
• Some reports say Florida, Virginia, Maryland, and Washington, D.C., (and possibly other states) have received record numbers of requests for absentee ballots for this election. Absentee ballots are counted differently based on the state http://www.electionline.org/site/docs/html/counting_absentee_ballots.htm, with most states counting them on election day, but with some exceptions, the last deadline being 10 days after the election (all Washington, D.C. absentee ballots, and oversea absentee ballots in Ohio and Florida). Washington State allows 15 days after the election for out of country absentee ballots to come in. It is possible that absentee ballots are being requested due to concerns about electronic voting, or simply due to an expected high overall voter turnout. http://www.nbc-2.com/articles/readarticle.asp?articleid=1661&z=3&p= http://washingtontimes.com/metro/20041101-110119-6698r.htm
• Early exit polling shows strong Kerry battleground states edge http://www.mydd.com/story/2004/11/2/135756/299. Early exit polling has in the past tended to favor Republicans, though it favored Al Gore in several key states in the 2000 election.
• Leroy Chiao, currently stationed on the International Space Station, cast his vote by encrypted e-mail and became the first American to vote in a presidental election from space.
• Slate reports exit polls from ten states, with John Kerry winning in Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Minnesota and New Mexico. Bush projected to win in Nevada, North Carolina and Colorado. Together with the polls from MyDD there are results from 34 states. Kerry leads with 192 electoral votes, while Bush has 152. http://slate.msn.com/id/2109053/
• Zogby http://www.zogby.com/ predicts a decisive 311 to 213 win for Kerry with 14 electoral votes too close to call.
• CNN projects Indiana, Kentucky, and Georgia for Bush. Vermont is projected for Kerry. CBS and FoxNews concur. Based on these projections, the electoral vote is 34 for Bush, 3 for Kerry.
• Yahoo! News is calling West Virginia for George W. Bush, making the projected electoral vote 39 for Bush, 3 for Kerry. CNN and NBC News both concur.
• CNN projects Alabama, Oklahoma, and Tennessee for President Bush; Connecticut, Delaware, Washington, DC, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Maine (except 2nd District), New Jersey, and Vermont for Senator Kerry: current electoral vote is 77-66, Kerry ahead.
• NBC calls North Carolina for Bush, 81-77 for Bush
• CNN (and ABC, and possibly others) projects South Carolina(8), Virginia(13), Kansas(6), Nebraska(4), North Dakota(3), South Dakota(3), Texas(34) and Wyoming(3) for president Bush, and New York(31) and Rhode Island(4) for senator Kerry. Projected count 155-112 for Bush. According to these numbers, both candidates have won the same states that their parties won in the 2000 election, but redistribution of districts means that the Democrats have lost 5 electoral votes and the Republicans have won 2 with respect to those elections.
• CNN and ABC project Louisiana(9) and Mississippi(6) for the president, leaving the count at 170-112 for the incumbent.
• FoxNewsChannel has Bush at 193-112 with Missouri(11), Arkansas(5) and Utah(5) now in the Bush column.
• ABC has Bush at 196-112, with Montana (3) for the president with Bush ahead in swing states Florida, Ohio and way behind in Pennsylvania.
• FoxNewsChannel says Bush has 75% chance of winning Florida
• CBS, CNN and FoxNewsChannel call Pennsylvania for Kerry, 196-133 for Bush. Florida would give Bush 223
• CNN projects California(55) for Kerry, Idaho(4) for Bush. 200-188 Bush in front (for ABC, as CNN has not called Montana).
• ABC calls Arizona(10) for Bush. 210-188.
• CNN won't call Florida but says Kerry camp is all but conceding there.
• ABC has Bush 237-Kerry 188
• ABC, BBC and CNN call Florida for Bush
• On CNN, Bush re-election committee chair Marc Racicot says we'll have a result tonight, seemed quietly confident of victory in Ohio and generally. Kerry camp still optimistic about Ohio.
• Kerry camp less optimistic now, according to FoxNews.
• ABC says Bush 237 Kerry 195; Fox says Bush 246 Kerry 206
• BBC, CNN, ABC and FoxNews call Colorado for Bush.
• Votes still being cast in Ohio. Peter Snow for the BBC estimates a Bush 279 Kerry 259 result if Bush takes Ohio; Kerry 'could get through the winning post otherwise'.
• Fox calls New Hampshire, plus 2nd Congressional District of Maine, for Kerry.
• Fox calls Ohio for Bush.
• BBC claims that the one Maine vote given to Bush has been given to Kerry, who now has all 4 Maine votes.
• BBC calls Washington for Kerry.
• Fox calls Alaska for Bush.
• NBC calls Ohio for Bush.
• BBC News reports that Bush Camp is timidly beginning to celebrate a victory while Kerry Camp remains silent
• CNN calls Ohio 'too close to call'.
• CBS calling Michigan for Kerry.
• CNN calls Minnesota for Kerry.
• CNN calls Hawaii for Kerry.
• CNN reports Democratic VP candidate John Edwards says: "We've waited four years for this victory. We can wait one more night" as results lag in Ohio and Iowa.
• Former Republican mayor of New York City Rudy Giuliani says that Kerry should concede "for the good of the country".

Wednesday, November 3, 2004

• After 1 am, CNN changes exit polling results in Ohio from Kerry ahead to Bush ahead. http://www.ilcaonline.org/modules.php?op=modload&name=News&file=article&sid=906&mode=thread&order=0&thold=0
• BBC, ABC, CBS, CNN call Nevada for Bush. FOX News and MSNBC, who both earlier called Ohio for Bush, do not call Nevada for Bush -- yet as of 4:07 AM EST. (Calling both for Bush would be equivalent to calling the presidency for Bush.)
• NBC calls Minnesota for Kerry.
• Tom Brokaw of NBC News refuses to call Nevada for Bush as long as outstanding absentee ballots (rumored to be as many as 60,000) have not been counted. Another reason for refusal is the contention by the Kerry camp that Ohio should not be called for Bush.
• BBC, CNN call Wisconsin for Kerry.
• On a special edition of Today, Tom Brokaw announces that NBC News will not call any more states for either candidate as long as the Kerry camp contests the Bush win in Ohio. This puts the NBC News electoral vote count at 269 for Bush and 238 for Kerry.
• White House Chief of Staff Andy Card claims victory for Bush before Kerry concedes or any of the networks call a winner.
• AP & CNN report Kerry has called Bush and conceded the election.
• Kerry conceded at 2 PM EST CNN, NPR; ABC finally calls Ohio for Bush
• Bush declared victory at 3 PM EST saying, "America has spoken, and I'm humbled by the trust and the confidence of my fellow citizens. With that trust comes a duty to serve all Americans. And I will do my best to fulfill that duty every day as your president." Networks have still not declared victors in several states.
• "Black Box Voting (.ORG) is conducting the largest Freedom of Information action in history. At 8:30 p.m. Election Night, Black Box Voting blanketed the U.S. with the first in a series of public records requests, to obtain internal computer logs and other documents from 3,000 individual counties and townships. Networks called the election before anyone bothered to perform even the most rudimentary audit." http://blackboxvoting.org/#foia
• Voting machines controversy in PA. Before polls even opened in Philadephia, 2,000 votes had already been cast on voting machines. Drudge Report. Philadelphia election officials and the district attorney quickly discounted this, apparently Republican operatives mistakingly believed the counter that records the total number of votes ever made on the voting machines was a count for a candidate. http://www.wistv.com/Global/story.asp?S=2508298 http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/Vote2004/story?id=216032&page=3
• Voting machines controversy in Ohio. Walden O'Dell, the head of Diebold Incorporated, had said in 2003 that he is "committed to helping Ohio deliver its electoral votes to the president next year." http://www.commondreams.org/headlines03/0828-08.htm
• In Iowa, a glitch with an optical vote counting machine caused Greene County to not report results for 6 of 15 precincts. A replacement machine was brought in and counting resumed at 9:45am, including recounting of the 9 precincts already counted. The count was finished in just over an hour and half. http://desmoinesregister.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20041104/NEWS09/411040398/1056

Friday, November 5, 2004

• "A computer error involving one voting-machine cartridge gave President Bush 3,893 extra votes in a Gahanna precinct. Franklin Countys Ohio unofficial results gave Bush 4,258 votes to Democratic challenger John Kerrys 260 votes in Precinct 1B, which votes at New Life Church on Stygler Road. Records show only 638 voters cast ballots in that precinct." The machines in question are Danaher Controls Inc.'s ELECTronic 1242, an older-style touchscreen voting system, these machines are only used in Franklin County. http://dispatch.com/election/election-president.php?story=dispatch/2004/11/05/20041105-A6-01.html http://apnews.myway.com/article/20041105/D865SVN80.html
• Black Box Voting, an online blog generally considered too left-wing to be reliable takes the position that fraud took place in the 2004 election through electronic voting machines. http://www.ilcaonline.org/modules.php?op=modload&name=News&file=article&sid=924&mode=thread&order=0&thold=0
• Federal Court orders Florida officials to preserve absentee ballots received after election day. http://www.ilcaonline.org/modules.php?op=modload&name=News&file=article&sid=922&mode=thread&order=0&thold=0

Sunday, November 7, 2004

• The Ralph Nader / Peter Camejo campaign filed a challenge to the voting results in New Hampshire after receiving numerous complaints from voting rights activists . This effort is widely encouraged by Democrats and Independents due to suspected flaws related to Diebold voting machines.

Tuesday, November 9, 2004

• Rocky Mountain News November 9, 2004 " A printing error that distorted bar codes on paper ballots is being blamed for delays that made this one of the last counties in the nation to report election results." http://www.rockymountainnews.com/drmn/election/article/0,1299,DRMN_36_3315282,00.html

Thursday, November 11, 2004

• "Green and Libertarian Presidential Candidates to Demand Ohio Recount." http://www.gp.org/press/pr_11_11_04.html
• "Nader calls for US election recounts" in Ohio, Florida, New Hampshire, and North Carolina http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=1506&ncid=703&e=7&u=/afp/20041111/ts_alt_afp/us_vote_nader

Saturday, November 13, 2004

Monday, December 13, 2004

• Electoral college delegates cast their votes.

• Legally binding recount begins in Ohio.

Thursday, January 6, 2005

• The electoral vote for the United States Presidency is officially certified as 286 for Republican President George W. Bush, 251 for Democratic Senator John Kerry, and 1 for Democratic Senator John Edwards, leading to Bush's reelection, despite a formal challenge to Ohio's electoral votes, the first challenge since 1877, resulting in a vote — 1-74 (Yea-Nay) in the Senate and 31-267 in the House.

Election incidents

Results

Certificates of Ascertainment

Footnotes

Third party candidates

Colorado constitutional amendment

* – Colorado had a constitutional amendment, Amendment 36, on the ballot this year which could have changed the process by which its electoral votes were distributed. The vote failed, so Colorado awarded all 9 of its electoral votes to Bush, the winner of the vote in that state. Results of the vote follow:

align=center colspan=3 bgcolor="silver" | Colorado Amendment 36
|Position	Votes	Vote %
|Yes (proportional split)	355,712	34.10%
|No (remains winner-take-all)	686,431	65.90%

Maine and Nebraska splits

** – Maine and Nebraska are unlike the other 48 states and the District of Columbia in that they allocate their electoral votes in the following manner: 1 for the winner of each Congressional district, 2 for the state winner. However, neither state split the vote, so each of these states went winner-take-all.

Pre-election odds

• On Tradesports, the Bush futures contract dropped from about 53, where it had been for several days before election, to about 30, in about an hour, but then rallied to 65-66 by 15:30 UTC. On Betfair the odds on a Bush victory increased from 1.75 at the beginning of the day, to 5.0 at 13:00 UTC, and moved down to 1.33 at 15:20 UTC.

• Oddschecker gave real time odds and accurate reflection of probabilities from various UK bookmakers.

• The Iowa Futures Market briefly showed Bush losing ground, with Kerry picking up.

• The price of light crude oil dropped the day before election by nearly $1.63 (3.2%), amid speculation that a win for Kerry would result in the abolition of President Bush's maximum-capacity Strategic Petroleum Reserve policy. Oil prices continued to fall after the election. http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml?type=businessNews&storyID=6692242 http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/ap/20041104/ap_on_bi_ge/oil_prices_80

 

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